Loan-to-value: the first screen on any real estate note

Diligence on a real estate note takes hours. The loan-to-value ratio takes a minute, and it tells you which notes are worth the rest of your time.

Brian Eastman

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Diligence on a real estate note is slow work. Reading the loan file, pulling title, forming your own view of the property and the borrower, and getting to a value you actually trust can fill hours on a single deal, and most of the notes that come across your desk will not be worth that. Knowing what to look at first is what keeps your effort pointed at the ones most likely to earn your time.

Loan-to-value belongs at the top of that list. An LTV ratio takes a minute to work out, and it answers the question the rest of your diligence is ultimately serving: if the borrower stops paying, is there enough value in the property to get your plan's money back?

That is a different question than the rate answers. The rate tells you what a note pays while the borrower is paying. LTV tells you what your plan may be able to recover if that stops. Both belong in a first look, but a quick calculation of LTV can be a more meaningful way to determine whether to keep going.

Running the number

To determine the loan-to-value on a note, divide the loan amount by the property's value. A $150,000 note against a $200,000 property is 75 percent, leaving $50,000 of equity above the loan balance.

That equity is what protects your plan's principal. A defaulted note has to be resolved one way or another, whether that turns out to be a foreclosure, a deed in lieu, a short sale, a negotiated payoff, or selling the note to another investor, and every one of those paths costs the plan something. Legal and professional fees are part of it, and so is the time the plan's capital sits idle while the matter works itself out. If the plan does end up holding the property, taxes, insurance, and upkeep run until it sells, and a commission comes off the sale. Most exits also settle for less than the value an appraisal supported. The wider the equity above the loan balance, the more of that the property can absorb before the plan's own capital takes the loss.

Loan amount Loan-to-value Equity above the loan balance
$180,000 90% $20,000
$150,000 75% $50,000
$120,000 60% $80,000

Where the value comes from

The loan amount in the loan-to-value calculation is a fact. The property value is an estimate, and an LTV ratio is only as reliable as the estimate underneath it.

A value might come from a full interior appraisal, a broker price opinion, or a drive-by look at the front of the house, and each carries a different level of confidence. A value supplied by whoever is selling you the note is a starting point rather than a settled figure.

For screening purposes, a stated LTV is sufficient. Confirming the value is where your diligence time begins to go, and relying on the provided numbers first helps decide whether a note deserves more effort.

Who stands ahead of you

A loan-to-value ratio describes your plan's exposure only when nothing else is secured by the property. Where a senior lien exists, note position and LTV have to be read together, because what protects your plan is not just its own loan measured against the property but the total owed ahead of it.

A note in second position recovers nothing until the first-position lender is made whole, so the number that matters is everything the property secures, not your plan's share of it. Take that same $200,000 property with a $120,000 first mortgage already on it. A seller can accurately describe a $60,000 junior lien behind it as 30 percent, but the property is securing $180,000, which matches the top row of the table above: 90 percent. The $20,000 cushion is thinner than it looks, however, because a senior balance grows through a default as missed payments, fees, and advances for taxes and insurance are added ahead of your plan. Junior liens pay a higher rate for exactly that reason.

Recorded mortgages are not the only claims that can sit ahead of you. Unpaid property taxes, HOA assessments, and some judgments can take priority over a recorded note, and a borrower who has fallen behind on loan payments may well be behind on those too. A title search is how you confirm where your lien position actually sits, and on a junior lien that work comes before the LTV ratio means much at all.

What LTV cannot tell you

Equity on paper assumes a property in a condition nobody may have confirmed. An appraisal describes a house as it was on the day someone looked at it, and a borrower who has stopped making payments has often stopped maintaining the place as well. Vacancy, deferred maintenance, and a rehab that was never finished all reduce what the property will actually bring.

The ratio also reflects a value as of today, while any recovery your plan might pursue would come later. An equity position that looks comfortable in a market where prices are steady or rising may look quite different in one that has turned, and a thin market can be slow to produce a buyer at any price. Local valuation trends deserve as much attention as the starting number.

Whether the borrower can carry the deal is a separate question from whether the property covers the loan, and the evidence looks different depending on the note. On a short-term rehab loan, the project budget, the schedule, and the borrower's record of finishing comparable work usually tell you more than a credit score does. On a note secured by a home the borrower lives in, their income and existing obligations matter, and so does the payment history on any existing note. Someone who has paid on time for three years is telling you something no ratio can.

Where LTV fits in your process

For many note investors the LTV ratio is simply the first number they look at, and it earns that place by being quick. It needs nothing but a loan balance and a stated value, it takes a minute, and it tells you whether the property behind a note could plausibly make your plan whole in the event of a default. A deal that does not clear that bar has just saved you the hours you were about to spend on it.

The rate comes next, and reading the two together is what makes a first look worth something. The rate describes what the note pays if everything goes to plan, and LTV describes what may be left if it does not. Higher risk tends to carry a higher rate, so a return well above what comparable notes are paying is often describing the same exposure the LTV ratio is.

Position only becomes a question when the note is not in first position, and on those deals it moves to the front of the line, since an LTV ratio means little until you know what is recorded ahead of your plan.

The broader risk picture on a note runs well past the collateral math, and it deserves real attention on any deal that clears the first look. Screening on LTV does not tell you whether a note is sound. It tells you which notes are worth the time it takes to find out.

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